Arab Wealth, Arab Democracy?
The Economist is running a special feature on the Arab world, which is worth reading in its entirety. As a teaser, check out these observations from the lead article:
The political instability of the Arab world is in turn connected to another problem: the missing glue of nationhood. Many years ago an Egyptian diplomat, Tahsin Bashir, called the new Arab states of the Middle East “tribes with flags” (though he exempted Egypt). His point still holds. In countries as different as Lebanon and Iraq, ethnic, confessional or sectarian differences have thwarted programmes of nation-building.
That is why Iraq fell apart into Sunni, Shia and Kurdish fragments after the removal of Saddam despite decades of patriotic indoctrination. Syria could follow suit if the minority Alawi sect of the ruling Assad family were somehow to lose control of this largely Sunni country. Sudan has seen not one but two civil wars between its Arab-dominated centre and the non-Arab minorities in its south and west.
Now, there is an assumption here, and that is that democracy and prosperity find better soil in Nation-States, especially ones that successfully transcend clan and tribe. The Economist, which is largely a hymnal in praise of global capitalism, seems to be channeling the spirit here of Ferdinand Tönnies, and his distinction between Community and Civil Society (usually known by the German names Gemeinschaft and Gesellschaft).
Specifically, following Tönnies, the Economist suggests that democracy requires a civil society that can trump loyalties to clan. I don’t dispute that, but there’s got to be more. And indeed, the Economist points out oil.
Wars can happen anywhere. What makes the Middle East especially prone to them? Just count the ways. First is oil. In the late 1990s Mr bin Laden wrote a letter to Mullah Omar, the leader of the Afghan Taliban, in which he pointed out that 75% of the world’s oil was found in the Persian Gulf region and that “whoever has dominion over the oil has dominion over the economies of the world.” So long as that remains broadly true, the interests of energy-hungry powers from near and far will continue to grind against each other there.
That can't be the whole story. Missing here is any discussion of religion, following the Economist's general vision that capitalism is secular in the sense that capitalism belongs to the world. One need only point to the incredible capitalist engine that is the UAE to see Muslim wealth creation, even if much of the wealth there is actually created by foreigners and non-Muslims.



That is why Iraq fell apart into Sunni, Shia and Kurdish fragments after the removal of Saddam despite decades of patriotic indoctrination. Syria could follow suit if the minority Alawi sect of the ruling Assad family were somehow to lose control of this largely Sunni country. Sudan has seen not one but two civil wars between its Arab-dominated centre and the non-Arab minorities in its south and west.
The partisan rancor in Washington D.C. should really surprise nobody: every president in my lifetime has pledged to “reach across the aisle”, but it never really goes far.
A nation’s greatest resource is its citizens. Sure. We say that all the time. But what is a citizen?
If we’re going to spend a trillion dollars “stimulating” the economy, can we at least think outside the twentieth century?
Is that fair? I'd love to hear your thoughts. Not about point (2), as there's only name-calling and indignation to be gained in discussing that issue. I mean point (1), about Warren. Is our Christian credibility compromised by association with politics?
News stories are playing out along tried and true lines: phony outrage and “I’m not racist defenses”. We’ve gone through this story a million times, and never grown from it.
